Do More With Reuters
Partner Services

UPDATE 1-Legg's Miller: No clear case for buying financials

Wed Jul 30, 2008 11:41pm IST
 
Email | Print | | Single Page
[-] Text [+]

(Adds analyst comment, Miller's fund's details, byline)

By Muralikumar Anantharaman

BOSTON, July 30 (Reuters) - Bill Miller, stock picker at U.S. asset manager Legg Mason Inc (LM.N: Quote, Profile, Research), said on Wednesday financial stocks appear to have hit a "capitulation low" in mid-July but added it was not clear if they should be bought now.

Miller, whose main Value Trust fund has rebounded in July but is still the worst performer among peers this year, said the "frenzy" over the capital concerns of mortgage finance firms Fannie Mae (FNM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Freddie Mac (FRE.N: Quote, Profile, Research) "sent financials to what looks like a capitulation low on July 15."

But despite their extremely low valuations, Miller, in his quarterly letter to Value Trust shareholders, did not make a case for buying financial stocks at these levels.

"Is it obvious financials should be bought now, having reached the most oversold levels since the 1987 Crash, and the lowest valuations since the last great buying opportunity in 1990 and 1991? Or is it obvious they should be avoided, since the credit problems are in the papers every day and write-offs and provisioning will likely continue into 2009," Miller wrote in his July 27 letter, which was released on Wednesday.

"When I ask what is obvious now, there is little consensus," Miller wrote.

Miller, 53, is the only manager to have beaten the Standard & Poor's 500 index for 15 years in a row through 2005. But his performance has deteriorated since and has plunged in 2008, hurt by its sizable holdings of financial stocks such as Citigroup (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research), Merrill Lynch MER.N and Freddie Mac.

The fund is down 28.93 percent in 2008 through Tuesday's close compared with the S&P 500's negative 13 percent return, according to Lipper Inc data. It has also shrunk in size to $9.7 billion as of the end of June from about $17 billion at the end of 2007.  Continued...

India Investment Summit 2009
India Investment Summit 2009

Top executives and bankers discuss their own plans and the broader opportunities and challenges for India.  Full Coverage 

GLOBAL RECOVERY

A labourer works on a flyover bridge at a construction site in New Delhi October 14, 2009. REUTERS/Parth Sanyal/Files
Global economy in holding pattern - IMF

The global economy is in a holding pattern and vulnerable to more upheaval, the head of the IMF said, adding a lasting recovery will depend on policymakers taking the proper steps in the coming months.  Full Article 

People stroll outside the Taj Mahal hotel ahead of the first anniversary of the militant attacks in Mumbai, November 24, 2009.  REUTERS/Punit Paranjpe
Investors worry about another attack

The risk of militants striking again worries investors who fear that a second attack similar to last year's Mumbai raids could shake the economy.  Full Article | Full Coverage 

Market Update

  • IndiaIndia
  • USUS
  • UKUK
  • Asia
  • Most Actives

road to Copenhagen

BLOGS

Photo
Calculated Move

Reliance aims big with $12 bln bid for LyondellBasell.  Blog 

showcase

U.S. Recession
U.S. Recession

A trip through the epicenters of the American recession.  Full Coverage 

 
Central Banks Cautious
Central Banks Cautious

Reuters tracks the policies of the world's top central banks as the debate over global economic recovery rages on.   Full Coverage 

 
T P Raman
Column - RBI leads the world

Reserve Bank of India's approach ring-fenced the banking system.   Full Article 

 
Funding Blues
Funding Blues

A popular tactic used by Indian brokerages to raise money for rich clients is likely to be banned.  Full Article 

 
Not Enough Jobs
Not Enough Jobs

Venture capital creates jobs, but not enough.  Full Article 

 
Column - A Sweet Dream
Column - A Sweet Dream

There are good reasons for Ferrero to consider a combination with Cadbury.  Full Article