TEXT-Moody's may cut Continental Alloys & Services
(The following statement was released by the ratings agency)
April 3 - Moody's Investors Service placed Continental Alloys & Services, Inc's (Continental) ratings (B2 Corporate Family Rating and B3 Probability of Default Rating) under review for possible downgrade following weaker than expected operating performance and concerns that the company's performance could continue to deteriorate, creating financial covenant compliance pressure. Moody's is concerned that the company may not be able to comply with its financial covenants in its bank credit facilities and may need to renegotiate its covenants in order to maintain access to these facilities over the near-term.
Continental's operating performance weakened in the fourth quarter of 2007 and thus far in 2008, primarily driven by weakness in the Gulf of Mexico and Canada and by customer inventory overhangs. As a result, the company's EBITDA levels have fallen below expectations and its cushion under its bank facility financial covenants are fairly tight. Continental's fixed charge coverage ratio appears particularly tight given the company's increased capital spending on a new manufacturing facility in Malaysia, which is expected to be completed in the second quarter of this year. Moody's notes that the company expects its performance to improve in the second quarter of 2008 and that the recent strength in commodity prices are supportive of increased oilfield service activity levels. However, Moody's is concerned that the company's earnings could continue to weaken, as Moody's believes that the Gulf of Mexico shelf has faced a secular decline in rig activity. In addition, even with increased energy sector activity levels, Continental could face pressured earnings and profitability levels over the near-term due to the risk of continued inventory overhangs and to a lesser extent the sale of its nickel products inventory at lower margins.
During the review process, Moody's will focus on the company's ability to maintain or build a healthy cushion of compliance (through covenant amendment or otherwise) vis--vis its financial covenants and maintain adequate liquidity, with particular focus on expected covenant compliance headroom over the next several quarters. The review will also consider the company's ability to achieve improved operating performance on the heels of weakness in the Gulf of Mexico shelf and Canada, prevent material margin erosion, offset the risk of certain customers increasing their use of regional sourcing in international markets, generate incremental cash flow from its new facility in Malaysia, and the potential for additional equity infusion. Ratings placed under review for possible downgrade are as follows: On Review for Possible Downgrade: ..Issuer: Continental Alloys & Services, Inc. ....Probability of Default Rating, Placed on Review for Possible Downgrade, currently B3 ....Corporate Family Rating, Placed on Review for Possible Downgrade, currently B2 ....Senior Secured Bank Credit Facility, Placed on Review for Possible Downgrade, currently B2 Outlook Actions: ..Issuer: Continental Alloys & Services, Inc. ....Outlook, Changed To Rating Under Review From Stable
Continental Alloys & Services, Inc. is headquartered in Spring, Texas. (New York Ratings Team)
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