TEXT-S&P release on Calpine, NRG Energy
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
May 22 - Standard & Poor's Ratings Services today placed its 'B+' corporate credit rating on NRG Energy Inc. (NRG.N: Quote, Profile, Research) on CreditWatch with negative implications and its 'B' corporate credit rating on Calpine Corp. (CPN.N: Quote, Profile, Research) on CreditWatch with positive implications. These rating actions follow the disclosure yesterday that NRG's board, via a private letter to the Calpine board, made an all-stock offer to purchase 100% of the outstanding shares of Calpine at an exchange ratio of 0.534 shares of NRG for each share of Calpine. It is not clear how long it would take before a formal transaction is agreed upon, if at all. However, NRG's letter to Calpine's board says that NRG anticipates it will be able to conduct its further necessary confirmatory due diligence within a three-week period.
"Although formal discussions between the two companies are just commencing and the terms of the deal could change, based on the current all-stock proposal, we think that NRG's acquisition of a much less hedged and more leveraged Calpine would likely result in the combined company being rated either 'B+' or 'B'," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Swami Venkataraman. "However, the transaction has both strengths and weaknesses that may potentially drive ratings outside this range, although we consider that an unlikely outcome at this stage."
The most important determinant of the final rating outcome is the deal's final financing structure and our view of the financial performance of the combined company. The all-stock transaction structure currently proposed is clearly the least detrimental to NRG's credit quality, but the final transaction structure is uncertain. In its press release, Harbinger Capital called the offer a "good starting point." If NRG agrees to a significantly higher valuation for Calpine, the dilution implied by an all-stock transaction may be unacceptable to NRG's shareholders and a final deal may potentially involve incremental debt.
Under the terms of Calpine's exit financing, change of control is an event of default. Thus, an acquisition by NRG could require refinancing or repricing of Calpine's debt, which was committed before the credit crunch and carries attractive pricing compared to current market conditions. An increased cost of borrowing of about $6 billion of Calpine's emergence financing would be a credit negative.
Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect, the real-time Web-based source for Standard & Poor's credit ratings, research, and risk analysis, at www.ratingsdirect.com. All ratings affected by this rating action can be found on Standard & Poor's public Web site at www.standardandpoors.com; select your preferred country or region, then Ratings in the left navigation bar, followed by Credit Ratings Search. (New York Ratings Team)
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