TEXT-Moody's release on AES Gener
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
April 21 - Moody's Investors Service changed the rating outlook for AES Gener S.A. CHG.SN (Gener) to negative from 1stable and affirmed Gener's existing Baa3 senior unsecured rating. "The change in Gener's rating outlook reflects a weaker-than-expected financial profile" said Moody's Vice President Scott Solomon. "Gener's near-term financial profile is expected to remain weak as the company manages through expected further gas curtailments and a significant construction program" said Solomon. An increase in natural gas curtailments and, to a lesser extent, weak hydrology conditions negatively impacted Gener's consolidated operating margins and cash flow during 2007 resulting in weaker-than-expected financial metrics. This is evidenced by Gener's ratio of adjusted consolidated cash from operations (before changes in working capital) to adjusted consolidated debt, as calculated by Moody's, which fell to approximately 18% at year-end 2007 compared to approximately 26% in the prior comparable period. While we expected financial metrics to be pressured in 2007 relative to 2006-levels, our prior rating outlook assumed that this particular metric would be no lower than 20%. The rating action also takes into account Gener's sizeable capital requirements associated with the construction of new coal-fired generating facilities in Chile to meet growing demand and to lessen dependence on natural gas supply from Argentina. Gener's coal plant construction program currently includes the 267-megawatt Nueva Ventanas facility that is expected to achieve commercial operation in 2010 and the 540- megawatt Angamos facility (2011). While this new generating capacity has been largely contracted, non-recourse debt financing for these facilities is expected to cause Gener's consolidated debt balances to double by 2011. Moody's anticipates that Gener will fund its coal plant construction program with an appropriate amount of equity. To that end, it is expected that Gener will issue up to $350 million of incremental common equity during the second quarter of 2008, primarily to fund Angamos. Failure to issue a suitable amount of equity to help fund its coal plant construction programs in Moody's opinion would increase strong downward pressure on the ratings. Gener intends to seek approval to construct additional generating capacity. While positive from the point of diversifying fuel supplies away from natural gas, additional construction further exposes Gener to the possibility of delays in construction as well as further increasing the overall business risk profile of the company. Gener's Baa3 senior unsecured rating is supported by a base level of cash flow derived from long-term contracts with financially sound counterparties, an adequate liquidity profile and an expectation for an improving consolidated financial profile upon completion of its construction program. Nevertheless, various factors could pressure Gener's rating in the interim. These include, among others, further unexpected weakening of its consolidated cash flow, failure to complete its common equity offering, construction delays or the incurrence of incremental indebtedness beyond what has been communicated. Headquartered in Santiago de Chile, AES Gener is Chile's second-largest electricity generation company and is 80%-owned by The AES Corporation (CFR: B1) and 20% by Chilean public shareholders. (New York Ratings Team)
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