TEXT-Fitch on Spectra Energy, Texas Eastern Transmission
(The following statement was released by the ratings agency)
March 17 - Fitch Ratings has affirmed the outstanding ratings of Spectra Energy Capital, LLC (SEC) and Texas Eastern Transmission, LP (TETCO) as listed below: Spectra --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB'; --Senior unsecured debt at 'BBB'; --Short-term IDR at 'F2'; --Short-term debt (Commercial Paper) at 'F2'. Texas Eastern --IDR at 'BBB+'; --Senior unsecured debt at 'BBB+'.
This action affects $2.6 billion of long-term debt and approximately $500 million of short-term debt at SEC and $1.2 billion of long-term debt at TETCO as of Dec. 31, 2007. The Ratings Outlooks are Stable.
SEC's ratings and Stable Outlook reflect the diversity and quality of its asset base, the high percentage of cash flows derived from stable pipelines and gas distribution assets, as well as strong industry fundamentals. The company's U.S. transmission assets, which include TETCO and other FERC-regulated pipelines and storage assets serving the Northeast and Southeast markets, have strong stand-alone credit metrics.
Credit concerns include the structural subordination of SEC's debt to approximately $6 billion of subsidiary debt and its aggressive capital program. Additionally, SEC is exposed to commodity price risk through its Empress natural gas liquids system and its 50% interest in DCP Midstream, LLC (DCP; Fitch IDR of 'BBB', with a Stable Outlook). While DCP has worked to reduce commodity exposure through its reliance on less risky percentage of proceeds contracts, commodity exposure is currently unhedged and, therefore, the stability and reliability of distributions upstreamed to SEC is difficult to predict. DCP contributes 35%-40% of SEC's expected funds from operations.
Leverage is expected to increase, as the company has outlined $1.8 billion of projects in the execution stage and up to a total of $3.5 billion in growth capital over the next three years. The company has stated that it does not plan to issue equity in 2008. Fitch expects that cash shortfalls due to SEC's capital plans are expected to be primarily met through the issuance of additional debt. As a result, SEC's consolidated credit metrics are expected to weaken. Fitch expects fiscal 2008 debt to EBITDA of 4 times (x) and EBITDA interest coverage of 3.6x on a consolidated basis. Fitch believes the ratios may weaken to 4.0x to 4.5x and 3.2 to 3.6x, respectively, by 2010. At this level, ratios would be weak for SEC's ratings category but Fitch expects the ratios to gradually recover as the projects begin to generate return.
It is important to note that Spectra recently held an open season for the proposed Bronco Pipeline. If constructed, the pipeline will be more than 650 miles in length, will have an initial capacity of more than 1 billion cubic feet per day and will cost approximately $3 billion to construct. A market transforming project such as Bronco poses financial and execution risk to Spectra. At this stage, Bronco has no direct or immediate impact on SEC's rating. However, as further detail becomes available regarding financing strategy, contractual support and ownership structure it may affect SEC's credit profile.
In addition to the factors driving Spectra's ratings, Texas Eastern's affirmation and Stable Outlook reflect the strength of the company's credit profile and the low level of business risk associated with the FERC-regulated operations. On a stand-alone basis, the pipeline system has the profile of a stronger rated entity with moderate debt levels and solid, consistent earnings and cash flow. As a subsidiary of Spectra Capital, however, the ratings of Texas Eastern remain linked to that of its parent. Texas Eastern will also continue to be functionally operated as a single integrated business unit within Spectra Capital. Texas Eastern and other U.S. operating companies will also remain reliant on the parent company's pooled credit facilities at Spectra Capital for any short-term liquidity needs. (New York Ratings Team)
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