Do More With Reuters
Partner Services

Canada export agency sees $70 oil as unsustainable

Tue Jun 9, 2009 11:06pm IST
 
Email | Print | | Single Page
[-] Text [+]

* EDC raises its 2009 oil price view to $55/bbl

* Sees oil sands projects coming back off the shelf (In U.S. dollars unless noted)

By Jeffrey Jones

CALGARY, Alberta, June 9 (Reuters) - Canada's export agency has raised its 2009 oil price forecast, based on recent gains, but its chief economist said on Tuesday he does not believe the fundamentals support current levels just shy of $70 a barrel.

Export Development Canada, a federal financing agency, now sees an average price for West Texas Intermediate oil of about $55 a barrel, up from its last forecast of $47. The higher price would lessen an expected skid in the value of Canada's petroleum exports.

"Clearly, what's happened in the last 20 days has adjusted our thinking a bit," EDC Chief Economist Peter Hall said.

"We're still not looking at going back up into triple digits in an awful hurry here, given market conditions."

Crude has climbed more than 20 percent in the past three weeks, and was selling for around $69.50 a barrel on Tuesday.

Optimism that world economies have suffered through the worst of the recession has helped push prices to double their lows of late 2008 and early 2009, but Hall said he does not believe that growth has returned.  Continued...

A man walks with the Indian national flag in front of the Taj Mahal hotel, one of the sites of last year's militant attacks, in Mumbai November 26, 2009. Thursday marks the first year anniversary of the Mumbai attacks. REUTERS/Punit Paranjpe
One Year Later

Mumbai's police paraded past some of the city's landmarks in a show of strength as the city marked the first anniversary of militant raids that killed 166 people  Slideshow | Full Coverage 

A supporter of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) holds a picture of BJP leader Lal Krishna Advani during an election campaign rally in Balasinor, about 90 km (56 miles) east of Ahmedabad, April 14, 2009. REUTERS/Amit Dave
Liberhan Commission Report

The government published a long awaited report, recently leaked, accusing BJP leaders of a role in the 1992 destruction of the Babri mosque in Ayodhya.  Full Article 

Thierry Henry's handball scandal

Barcelona's Thierry Henry takes part in a training session at Nou Camp Stadium in Barcelona, November 23, 2009. Barcelona and Inter Milan will play their soccer Champions League match on Tuesday. REUTERS/Albert Gea
FIFA to hold meeting

FIFA to hold an extraordinary meeting before World Cup draw to discuss Thierry Henry's handball in the qualifiers and discovery of match-fixing ring by German police.  Full Article