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EM ASIA FX-Peso rallies, rest sidelined by yen volatility

Tue Dec 1, 2009 1:19pm IST
 
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 * Peso rallies half a percent, central bank buys dollars
 * Dubai fears ebb, but NDF players hesitate to buy Asia
 * Yen volatile as BOJ, RBA hold meetings
 SINGAPORE, Dec 1 (Reuters) - The Philippine peso rallied
half a percent against the dollar on Tuesday, erasing last
week's losses over Dubai debt worries and with the central bank
leaning lightly against its rally.
 Most other Asian currencies were however barely changed,
sidelined as traders focused on a rate rise in Australia and a
surprise policy meeting in Japan and the yen's sharp drop and
rise around that event.
 The Bank of Japan said it would introduce a new operation
to provide 3-month funds at a fixed rate of 0.1 percent,
disappointing a market that had positioned itself for
aggressive quantitative easing or action to halt the yen at its
14-year highs against the dollar.
 PESO
 Philippine markets opened after Monday's local holiday to
heavy dollar inflows from remittances accumulated over the long
weekend.
 Peso non-deliverable forwards (NDFs) widened still, even
after the peso recovered from the sell-off triggered last week
by worries over a possible Dubai debt default.
 The currency rose half a percent to 46.90 per dollar.
One-year NDFs were at 90 points, implying a 2 percent
depreciation in the peso, and up from 48 points a week earlier.
 The spot market was focused on year-end inflows of foreign
exchange from overseas workers.
 "People are keeping short dollar positions alive with the
view that remittances will kick in. The BSP is on the slow bid
however," said a trader in Manila.
 "I am seeing dollar/peso buying flows as well, as those who
didn't cut on Friday are doing so today," said another NDF
trader.
  BAHT
 The baht THB= was steady and listless, nursing losses
after the Dubai debt woes [ID:nGEE5A02FN] but lacking the
momentum to rally.
 "Although the dollar takes on a slightly softer tone this
morning and the jitters on Dubai seem to have eased, the
direction of baht and Thai stocks is unclear as the approaching
year-end season could raise demand for dollars," a
Bangkok-based trader said.
 Dollar/baht was bid at 33.20, a steady level hardly moving
from late Monday and compared with a week ago. The baht has
gained about 0.63 percent in the past month.
 YUAN NDFS
 There was likewise little movement in the yuan, barring an
early bid for dollars in NDFs.
 Chinese yuan NDFs seemed set for a 6.6-6.65 per dollar
range in the one-year tenor in the coming days after Chinese
authorities signalled reluctance to let the currency appreciate
and markets seemed still wary of taking on positions after the
Dubai debt scare.
 Traders cited early dollar buying interest, which petered
out after 6.6370 was taken, at which level it implied a 2.9
percent yuan appreciation from the spot. The yuan was
subsequently back to 6.628 in one-year NDFs.
 "I don't see much flows and follow through and I expect
volumes to drop as the year-end end goes by," said one NDF
trader in Hong Kong.
 "We  can expect a slow down of activities from now on,
because while the market may hear more bad news regarding
Dubai, Premier Wen continues to fend off international pressure
for yuan appreciation. The momentum is not good enough either
way," said a second trader.
 Change on the day at   0727 GMT
 Currency    Latest bid   Previous day    Pct Move
 Japan yen        86.91          86.34       -0.66
 Sing dlr        1.3822         1.3840       +0.13
 Taiwan dlr      32.166         32.185       +0.06
 Korean won     1159.15        1162.80       +0.31
 Baht             33.16          33.23       +0.21
 Peso             46.90          47.21       +0.65
 Rupiah         9450.00        9445.00       -0.05
 Rupee            46.43          46.51       +0.17
 Ringgit         3.3885         3.3930       +0.13
 Yuan            6.8264         6.8271       +0.01
 Change so far in 2009
 Currency    Latest bid  End prev year    Pct Move
 Japan yen        86.91          90.60       +4.25
 Sing dlr        1.3822         1.4340       +3.75
 Taiwan dlr      32.166         32.860       +2.16
 Korean won     1159.15        1259.50       +8.66
 Baht             33.16          34.80       +4.95
 Peso             46.90          47.52       +1.32
 Rupiah         9450.00       11000.00      +16.40
 Rupee            46.43          48.71       +4.91
 Ringgit         3.3885         3.4500       +1.81
 Yuan            6.8264         6.8230       -0.05
  (Reporting by Vidya Ranganathan, Clare Jim in Hong Kong,
Vithoon Amorn in Bangkok; Editing by Editing by Neil Fullick)
  ((vidya.ranganathan@thomsonreuters.com; +65-68703090; Reuters
Messaging: vidya.ranganathan.reuters.com@reuters.net))
  ((If you have a query or comment on this story, send an email
to news.feedback.asia@thomsonreuters.com))    For more
information on Top News, please visit
topnews.reuters.com))
 Double click on brackets for following items:
 Asian currencies   AFX=   Asian currencies in Asia
AFX=A
 Malaysian ringgit  MYRX=  Indonesian rupiah  IDRX=
 Singapore dollar   SGDX=  Thai baht          THBX=
 Taiwan dollar      TWDX=  Hong Kong dollar   HKDX=
 Philippine peso    PHP=   Korean won         KRW=
 SPEED GUIDES MONEY  
 Exotic currencies  <EXOTIC/1>    Non-G7 currencies  <CCY/1>
 RELATED NEWS AND OTHER TOPICS
 All Singapore news [SG]    All Malaysian news [MY]
 Thailand [TH] Indonesia [ID] Hong Kong [HK] Taiwan [TW]
 Philippines [PH] Korea [KR] All emerging markets [EMRG]
 All foreign exchange news    [FRX]
 Foreign exchange technical analysis    [FRX&INSI] 
Construction workers work at a site as the sun sets in Chandigarh in this December 2006 file photo. REUTERS/Ajay Verma
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