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CORRECTED-TREASURIES-U.S. 10-year yields tumble to 5-week lows in line with Europe
February 24, 2017 / 8:27 PM / 7 months ago

CORRECTED-TREASURIES-U.S. 10-year yields tumble to 5-week lows in line with Europe

 (In second paragraph, corrects seven-week notes to seven-year
notes)
    * European political uncertainty weighs on U.S. yields
    * U.S. new home sales rise less than expected in January
    * U.S. consumer sentiment eases in February

    By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
    NEW YORK, Feb 24 (Reuters) - U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury
note yields dropped to five-week lows on Friday, pressured by
declines in Europe amid persistent political uncertainty and a
soft batch of U.S. data that suggested a more mixed outlook for
the world's largest economy.
    U.S. 10-year yields, which move inversely to prices, lost
about 6 basis points on Friday, their largest one-day fall in
three weeks. U.S. 30-year bond yields were also on the
defensive, declining to two-week lows, as did two-year,
five-year and seven-year notes.
    In Europe, German two-year yields               fell to
record lows, while France's 10-year bond yield               hit
a one-month low at 0.94 percent in a flight to safety.          
    "We remain reluctant to put too much stock into this week's
rally as global events steered all interest rates lower," said
Jim Vogel, interest rate strategist at FTN Financial in Memphis,
Tennessee.
    "It wasn't but just three weeks ago that EU and U.S. rates
were going on their own paths, and the two can diverge again." 
    France and its looming election remain front and center in
terms of political risks for European government bond traders.
Investors fear far-right National Front leader Marine Le Pen
might win the presidential election this year and lead France
out of the euro zone. Current polls, however, show Le Pen losing
either to centrist Emmanuel Macron or right-wing Francois
Fillon, but few people are willing to count her out.
    Aside from France, there are also upcoming elections this
year in the Netherlands, Germany and possibly Italy.
    In the United States, a lackluster set of U.S. data also
pressured bond yields, with new home sales growing less than
expected in January and consumer sentiment easing last month.
            
    Overall, the market is still pricing in a rate hike in June,
with 65 percent probability, according to the CME's FedWatch. 
    Much of the focus next week though would be on U.S.
President Donald Trump's State of the Union address on Tuesday.
    "If we don't get a credible policy doctrine and a
legislative timeline for tax reform, we believe markets will be
disappointed and rates can decline some more," said TD
Securities in its latest research note.
    In afternoon trading, U.S. 10-year notes             were up
18/32 in price to yield 2.322 percent, compared with 2.388
percent late Thursday. Yields fell as low as 2.313 percent, the
lowest since Jan. 17.
    U.S. 30-year bond             prices also rose, up more than
1 point, yielding 2.958 percent, down from Thursday's 3.023
percent. U.S. 30-year yields also touched a two-week low of
2.955 percent. 

 (Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Dan Grebler
and Lisa Shumaker)
  
 
 

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