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By Rory Carroll
SAN FRANCISCO Dec 13 Municipal debt volume will
come in at $395 billion next year, down an estimated 13 percent
from 2016 levels as the incoming Trump administration's impact
on economic growth will fall short of expectations, an
investment bank said on Tuesday.
"Our volume forecast assumes the President-elect will have
less success in stimulating the economy, and therefore, interest
rates will not rise to the same degree as the market generally
expects," Loop Capital Markets said in a forecast note.
Sales of municipal bonds and notes in 2016 are likely to set
a new record, with a volume of $445 billion, outpacing the
previous high-water mark set in 2010 of $433.3 billion,
Chicago-based Loop Capital said.
New money volume into the market should represent the
largest year-over-year increase during the period of new money
austerity, which started in 2011 and has continued in the years
since, Loop Capital said.
Supply in the $3.7 trillion U.S. municipal market surged
during the second half of the year as states, city and other
public agencies clamored to sell bonds and notes at low interest
The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a quarter-point
increase in interest rates on Wednesday, and experts anticipate
additional increases in 2017.
(Reporting by Rory Carroll; Editing by Jonathan Oatis)