May 17, 2018 / 3:46 AM / 2 months ago

China iron ore, coking coal fall for 2nd day; further downside seen

* Iron ore prices may fall in coming months - BMI Research

* Half of steelmaking capacity in China to meet new emission norm by 2020

BEIJING, May 17 (Reuters) - China’s iron ore and other steelmaking raw materials slipped for a second session on Thursday, while analysts said they expect softer demand in the coming months as the country shifts its focus from from heavy industries to services.

The most-active iron ore futures on the Dalian Commodity exchange dropped 0.6 percent to 481.5 yuan ($75.72) a tonne as of GMT 0309, on track for its steepest loss in nearly two-weeks.

“The market is full of uncertainties inlcuding weather and environmental policies. People are waiting for news ... for instance, lower inventory at ports or higher utilisation rate at mills,” said Wang Yilin, an analyst at Sinosteel Futures.

Stockpiles of iron ore at Chinese ports stayed little changed last week as of May 11, hovering near record level at 160 million tonnes.

Analysts at BMI Research on Thursday revised their outlook for the iron ore. They now expect prices to fall in the coming months and subsequent years as China shifts its focus to services, dampening the demand for iron ore.

Meanwhile, around half of China’s steelmaking capacity is expected to comply with ultra-low emission standards by 2020. Mills will need to install expensive environmental equipments and use higher grade of raw materials to reach the targets.

Other steelmaking raw materials also fell in early trade. Coking coal for September delivery slumped 1.7 percent to 1,250 yuan a tonne after plunging as much as 2.3 percent.

Coke futures fell 0.6 percent to 2,100 yuan a tonne.

Construction steel rebar prices stood at 3,674 yuan a tonne, largely unchanged, before lunch break.

Physical steel products settled less than 0.1 percent higher at 4,313.08 yuan a tonne on Wednesday, according to data from Mysteel consultancy.

$1 = 6.3592 Chinese yuan renminbi Reporting by Muyu Xu and Josephine Mason; Editing by Vyas Mohan

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