February 26, 2020 / 5:39 PM / a month ago

Canadian oil stumbles may force Trudeau and Alberta foe to cooperate

WINNIPEG, Manitoba, Feb 26 (Reuters) - Cancellation of a massive Canadian oil sands project leaves Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and a fierce critic, Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, with the challenge of overcoming their differences to square economic growth with environmental concerns.

They are the politicians with the most at stake in Teck Resources’ decision Sunday to abandon its Frontier project, which would have created thousands of Alberta jobs but spewed emissions that would hinder Trudeau’s green goals.

Instead of waiting for government to decide the fate of the project, Teck withdrew, noting investors require “a framework that reconciles resource development and climate change.”

Trudeau, Kenney and other premiers must now collaborate on a climate plan that accounts for oil developments, said Jack Mintz, president’s fellow at University of Calgary’s School of Public Policy.

They “have to lay down arms and start working together,” Mintz said. “If Canada wants to stay together, it needs to reach some agreement on resource development.”

Trudeau is aiming Canada toward carbon neutrality by 2050.

Teck’s decision was a “get-out-of-jail-free card” for Trudeau and problematic for Kenney, said Ian Urquhart, political science professor emeritus at University of Alberta.

“(It) may push the premier to reconsider whether, to attract the investment he craves, his government needs to take seriously a climate-change policy that will reduce oil sands greenhouse gas emissions,” Urquhart said.

Kenney, 51, former head of a taxpayer watchdog organization, faces economic pressure to defend the oil industry and political incentive to fight Trudeau, in a right-of-center province where a separatist movement is swelling.

Trudeau, 48, is the son of former Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau, who was deeply unpopular in Alberta for his energy policies.

Kenney’s game plan has to date involved support for the oil industry and casting Trudeau as a villain, Urquhart said.

In recent days protesters in Canada have blocked train lines, a port entrance and a highway in sympathy with indigenous activists looking to stop construction of a gas pipeline over their land.

On Monday, Kenney blamed Teck’s withdrawal from the oil sands project on Trudeau for allowing regulatory uncertainty and “lawless” protests.

He criticized “urban, green-left zealots” for opposing oil projects, but also extended a peace offer. Alberta had offered an oil sands emissions cap in exchange for approval of major projects, before Teck’s withdrawal, he said.

“We have been ready, willing and able to find an agreement on environmental issues that would also pave the way forward for our industry,” Kenney said.

The oil industry is already frustrated at federal targets changing from year to year, said Tim McMillan, chief executive of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers.

Complicating matters for Kenney, Teck’s decision likely adds strength to Alberta’s separatist movement, Mintz said.

“He has to deal with anger here. He needs the federal government to show they take him seriously.”

In Trudeau’s calls with two Alberta mayors on Tuesday, they agreed a strong climate plan is necessary to attract investors, a readout from the Prime Minister’s Office said.

Capital to develop technology is also needed to cut emissions across the economy, said Reg Curren, spokesman for oil producer Cenovus Energy.

Reporting by Rod Nickel in Winnipeg, Manitoba Editing by Chris Reese

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