June 11, 2019 / 6:59 AM / 3 months ago

TABLE-China slightly raises 2019/20 corn output forecast even as armyworm spreads

    BEIJING, June 11 (Reuters) - China's agriculture ministry on
Tuesday forecast the country's 2019/20 corn output at 254.4
million tonnes, up slightly from the previous month's estimate
as heavy rain in the northeastern corn region alleviated earlier
drought conditions. 
    The higher grain output estimate comes even as the
destructive fall armyworm spread to the north from southern
China, the ministry said in its monthly Chinese Agricultural
Supply and Demand Estimates (CASDE).
    The pest has been found in 18 provinces, regions and
municipalities in China, and was expected to reach the nation's
northeastern corn belt by this month or July, according to an
expert with a government think tank.
    Key numbers from the CASDE are below.
        2017/2  2018/201  2018/2019  2019/2020  Percentage
         018       9      (forecast  (forecast    change
                (estimat    ed by      ed by    
                 ed by      May)       June)    
                 June.)                         
 Corn                                                
 Plant  42.40    42.13      41.63      41.63        0%
  ed                                            
 acrea                                          
  ge                                            
 (mln                                           
 hecta                                          
 res)                                           
 Outpu  259.07   257.33    254.15     254.35      0.08%
   t                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Impor   3.47     2.50      3.00       3.00       0.00%
  ts                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Endin  -7.73    -23.50    -25.70     -25.50         
   g                                            
 Stock                                          
   s                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Soybe                                               
  an                                            
 Plant   8.25     8.40      9.07       9.07       0.00%
  ed                                            
 acrea                                          
  ge                                            
 (mln                                           
 hecta                                          
 res)                                           
 Outpu  15.28    16.00      17.27      17.27      0.00%
   t                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Impor  94.13    85.00      84.90      84.90      0.00%
  ts                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Endin   2.22    -2.05      -1.54      -1.54         
   g                                            
 Stock                                          
   s                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Cotto                                               
   n                                            
 Plant   3.35     3.37      3.30       3.30       0.00%
  ed                                            
 acrea                                          
  ge                                            
 (mln                                           
 hecta                                          
 res)                                           
 Outpu   5.89     6.04      5.92       5.92       0.00%
   t                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Impor   1.32     2.00      2.10       2.10       0.00%
  ts                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Endin   7.43     6.98      6.71       6.71          
   g                                            
 Stock                                          
   s                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Sugar                                               
 Plant   1.38     1.48      1.48       1.48       0.00%
  ed                                            
 acrea                                          
  ge                                            
 (mln                                           
 hecta                                          
 res)                                           
 Cane    1.20     1.24      1.24       1.24       0.00%
 Beet    0.18     0.23      0.24       0.24       0.00%
 Outpu  10.31    10.76      10.88      10.88      0.00%
   t                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Cane    9.16     9.44      9.49       9.49       0.00%
 sugar                                          
 Beet    1.15     1.32      1.39       1.39       0.00%
 sugar                                          
 Impor   2.43     2.90      3.04       3.04       0.00%
  ts                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Endin  -2.54    -1.69      -1.46      -1.46         
   g                                            
 Stock                                          
   s                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Edibl                                               
   e                                            
 oils                                           
 Outpu  27.23    25.43      25.95      25.95      0.00%
   t                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Soybe  15.87    14.70      14.76      14.76      0.00%
  an                                            
  oil                                           
 Rapes   5.89     5.25      5.63       5.63       0.00%
  eed                                           
 Peanu   3.12     3.07      3.12       3.12       0.00%
 t oil                                          
 Impor   6.11     6.55      6.73       6.73       0.00%
  ts                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 Palm    3.58     4.00      4.05       4.05       0.00%
  oil                                           
 Rapes   1.07     0.93      0.93       0.93       0.00%
  eed                                           
 Soybe   0.48     0.50      0.60       0.60       0.00%
  an                                            
  oil                                           
 Endin  -0.31    -1.62      -0.98      -0.98         
   g                                            
 Stock                                          
   s                                            
 (mln                                           
 tonne                                          
  s)                                            
 
   



    
       

 (Reporting by Hallie Gu and Beijing Newsroom; Editing by Joseph
Radford)
  
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