May 5, 2020 / 12:40 PM / a month ago

ICO sees global coffee market flipping into surplus in 2019/20 due to COVID-19

LONDON (Reuters) - The International Coffee Organization (ICO) sees the global coffee market flipping into a 1.95 million 60kg bag surplus in the 2019/20 season due to the impact of coronavirus lockdowns, having previously forecast a 474,000 bag deficit.

“Many countries have suspended non-essential activities, which have negatively impacted out-of-home coffee consumption,” said the ICO in a monthly report on Tuesday.

“Additionally, job losses could lower demand, particularly for non-habitual consumers,” it added.

The group said its output forecast for 2019/20 is unchanged as much of the harvesting occurred before the coronavirus, but warned the pandemic might impact production in 2020/21.

Global production is seen down 1.8% in 2019/20 at 168.01 million bags, while consumption is seen up 0.5% at 166.06 million bags, the ICO said.

The group raised its estimate for a global surplus of 5.83 million bags in the prior 2018/19 season, from 1.89 million.

(Corrects to 474,000 bag deficit from 474,000 tonne deficit in paragraph 1)

Reporting by Maytaal Angel; editing by Susan Fenton and Jason Neely

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