Reuters logo
FOREX-Dollar steadies after worst quarter in seven years
July 3, 2017 / 7:58 AM / 5 months ago

FOREX-Dollar steadies after worst quarter in seven years

* Dollar recovers around 0.2 percent across board

* Eyes on Fed minutes, U.S. payrolls later this week

* Australian central bank meets Tuesday

* U.S. July 4 holiday to quell activity early in week

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2017

By Patrick Graham

LONDON, July 3 (Reuters) - The dollar recovered some ground on Monday, as a rise in U.S. government bond yields to their highest in seven weeks helped halt a run of losses that added up to the currency’s worst quarter since 2010.

Signs of shift towards policy tightening last week from central bank officials outside the United States drove the euro above $1.14 to its highest in over a year, but the central support of higher market interest rates continues to favour the greenback.

German 10-year bond yields have jumped more than 20 basis points in the past week but remain close to 2 full percentage points lower than their U.S. equivalent. Yen yields are another 40 basis points lower.

“The reason why U.S. yields have gone up is important: they have been following European yields higher in the past week,” said Sam Lynton-Brown, a strategist with BNP Paribas in London.

“What that tells you is that dollar yen is the safest dollar long and dollar yen is near the highs. Our base case remains that U.S. data rebounds sufficiently to allow the market to price in more (tightening) from the Fed than it does currently.”

In a session set to be quietened by the absence of many traders before the U.S. July 4 holiday, the dollar was 0.2 percent higher against the euro and the basket of currencies used to measure its broader strength.

It gained 0.4 percent to 112.82 yen but with oil prices almost 1 percent higher, was slightly less robust against the bloc of major currencies seen as closely linked to commodities prices.

The Canadian dollar was holding onto gains that took it past C$1.30 per U.S. dollar, emboldened by growing bets in the market for a rise in interest rates by the Bank of Canada next week.

Canadian bank RBC was the latest to flip last week in favour of a rate rise and the bank’s analysts said on Monday the next targets for the loonie technically were below C$1.29.

“The recent break below strong congestive support at 1.3000 exposes 1.2823 and 1.2764 as the next supports of note for USD/CAD on the downside, with a return above 1.3186 required to negate the current downtrend,” they said.

All eyes on Tuesday will be on the Reserve Bank of Australia for signs of it joining the hawkish chorus among major central banks. Any shift in the wording of the bank’s statement might support the Aussie, which was just under 0.2 percent off last week’s highs on Monday.

For Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock markets see reuters://realtime/verb=Open/url= (Writing by Patrick Graham; editing by John Stonestreet)

Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
0 : 0
  • narrow-browser-and-phone
  • medium-browser-and-portrait-tablet
  • landscape-tablet
  • medium-wide-browser
  • wide-browser-and-larger
  • medium-browser-and-landscape-tablet
  • medium-wide-browser-and-larger
  • above-phone
  • portrait-tablet-and-above
  • above-portrait-tablet
  • landscape-tablet-and-above
  • landscape-tablet-and-medium-wide-browser
  • portrait-tablet-and-below
  • landscape-tablet-and-below