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Gold up 1.6 pct on weak dollar after disappointing U.S. data
February 3, 2014 / 3:42 PM / 4 years ago

Gold up 1.6 pct on weak dollar after disappointing U.S. data

LONDON (Reuters) - Gold rose 1.6 percent on Monday after a worse than expected U.S. manufacturing report weighed on the dollar and global equities, while persisting concerns about emerging markets bolstered some investor flight to safety.

A sales assistant arranges gold necklaces at a store in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, January 23, 2014. REUTERS/China Daily

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its index of national factory activity fell to its lowest level since May 2013 at 51.3 last month, from a recently revised 56.5 in December.

Spot gold jumped to a session high of $1,264.60 an ounce and was still up 1.5 percent at $1,262.17 an ounce by 1527 GMT.

Bullion snapped five weeks of advances last week, falling 2 percent, but posted a 3.2 percent gain in January for the first monthly increase in five, owing to weakness in global equities gripped by concerns over emerging economies.

U.S. gold futures for February delivery rose 1.8 percent to $1,262.20 an ounce.

Emerging markets, economic growth in the United States and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s move to taper monetary stimulus remain crucial to the metal’s moves in the short term, analysts said.

“There is a bit of deterioration in risk appetite, which has given support to gold,” ABN Amro’s Georgette Boele said. “But in the long run, a stronger dollar and better U.S. economy should drag gold prices lower and the strength we are seeing at the moment should still be regarded as a selling opportunity.”

The dollar index, which recorded its best monthly gain in eight months in January, extended losses to 0.3 percent against a basket of currencies after the U.S. data.

Global shares slipped, also undermined by data showing China’s economy losing momentum, while growing pressure for another policy easing in Europe shoved the euro to two-month lows against the dollar.

The focus will now turn to Friday’s U.S. non-farm payrolls report.

“I think one of the concerns that we have for the emerging markets is the impact on advanced nations, but ... there is a lot of data this week, and if you get strength there, that’s supportive for the dollar,” BofA Merrill Lynch analyst Michael Widmer said.

As a gauge of investor interest, hedge funds and money managers raised their net long positions in gold futures and options for a fifth consecutive week and cut their long positions in silver in the week to January 28, data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday.


Markets in China, the world’s biggest buyer of bullion, are closed until Friday, while Hong Kong, a major trading hub, was shut on Monday.

Shanghai premiums for gold bars over the London spot price had fallen to $4 an ounce just before the holiday, from more than $20 at the beginning of the month, indicating a drop in buying interest.

Sales of the U.S. Mint’s American Eagle gold coins fell 40 percent year on year in January, typically the busiest month of the year, as uncertainty over bullion prices continued to dampen interest from collectors.

Spot silver rose 2 percent to $19.48 an ounce, while palladium gained 0.2 percent to $702.60 an ounce.

Platinum was up 1 percent at $1,387.75 an ounce, with wage talks between South Africa’s AMCU union and the top three platinum producers set to continue this week.

Additional reporting by A. Ananthalakshmi in Singapore; Editing by William Hardy and David Goodman

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