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TREASURIES-Bond prices gain as stocks and housing starts fall
March 20, 2012 / 4:07 PM / 6 years ago

TREASURIES-Bond prices gain as stocks and housing starts fall

* Stocks slip after recent run-up
    * Housing starts fall in February
    * Fed buys $1.969 bln of longer-dated Treasuries

    By Chris Reese	
    NEW YORK, March 20 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury debt prices
rose on Tuesday, bolstered by weakness in the stock market and a
drop in housing starts in February.	
    U.S. stocks fell as investors took a break from buying that
had pushed the benchmark S&P 500 index up in eight of the past
nine sessions. That put it at its highest point since May 2008
and 10 percent below the record close in October 2007.	
    The Commerce Department said U.S. housing starts fell in
February, but permits for future construction jumped to their
highest level since October 2008. 	
    The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note gained
9/32 in price to yield 2.35 percent, down from 2.38 percent late
Monday, while the 30-year bond added 21/32 to yield
3.45 percent, down from 3.48 percent.	
    The 10-year note's yields touched a 4 1/2-month high of 2.39
percent on Monday. Last week, Treasuries prices plunged on signs
of an improving U.S. economy and some stabilization of Europe's
debt troubles.	
    Still, yields remain historically low. The 10-year yield of
1.67 percent in September was the lowest in at least 60 years.	
    "It would be natural to assume that since a bottom in bonds
has been established, the smart thing to do would be to call for
a rapid 2009-style backup in long-term rates," said Steven
Ricchiuto, chief economist at Mizuho Securities in New York.	
    "Although such an outcome cannot be ruled out, it is not our
central call. Instead, our new market call is for the 10-year
note to establish a new 2 percent to 2.5 percent trading range
and to hold this range through at least the summer," he said.	
    "We find it hard to fight the Fed," Ricchiuto said,
referring in part to the central bank's latest stimulus program,
nicknamed "Operation Twist."	
    On Tuesday, the Fed bought $1.969 billion of Treasuries
maturing February 2036 through February 2042 as part of
"Operation Twist."	
    There was some evidence that the recent rise in yields may
have run its course.	
    The share of investors who said on Monday they are long, or
owning more Treasuries than their portfolio benchmarks, rose to
25 percent from 21 percent the previous week, matching the level
seen two weeks ago, J.P. Morgan Securities' latest weekly
Treasury client survey showed.	
    Following last week's sharp market sell-off, the share of
investors who said they are short U.S. government debt, or
holding fewer Treasuries than their benchmarks, fell to 15
percent, down from 23 percent the previous week. 	
    "The Treasury market appears to be in the early stages of
tracing out a new higher range. There are no signs yet that this
is the beginning of a sustained bear move," William O'Donnell
and John Briggs, strategists at RBS Securities in Stamford,
Connecticut, said in a note.	
    "Indeed, short Treasuries are holding in well after solid
buying and there are no positioning and sentiment imbalances
that would be typical at the beginning of a new bear phase,"
O'Donnell and Briggs said.

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