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China Nov factory growth slows to 5-month low, confidence sags: Caixin PMI
December 1, 2017 / 1:54 AM / 17 days ago

China Nov factory growth slows to 5-month low, confidence sags: Caixin PMI

BEIJING, Dec 1 (Reuters) - - China’s manufacturing activity grew at the weakest pace in five months in November as input costs remained high and tougher pollution measures weighed on business confidence, a private survey showed on Friday.

FILE PHOTO: A worker jokes and beckons at her colleague as she rolls away carts of unused tools between rows of spinning machine at a factory owned by Hong Kong's Novetex Textiles Limited in Zhuhai City, Guangdong Province, China December 13, 2016. REUTERS/Venus Wu/File Photo

The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) dipped to 50.8 from 51.0 in October, but was roughly in line with economists’ expectations for a slight drop to 50.9.

While the index remained above the 50-point mark that devides growth from contraction on a monthly basis, it was the weakest reading since June and signaled only a marginal improvement in operating conditions.

Output and new orders rose only modestly, while input costs continued to rise sharply, pressuring profit margins. Firms were able to pass along slightly more of the price increases to their customers, but still had to cut staff at the fastest pace in three months to reduce costs.

Optimism about the one-year business outlook cooled for the third month running, with some firms saying they expected stricter environmental policies and relatively subdued demand to weigh on growth. The confidence reading was among the weakest on record since early 2012.

Some northern provinces have ordered factories to throttle back or halt output to reduce notoriously thick winter smog, but the production curbs have triggered fears of supply shortages, lifting prices of finished goods such as steel and copper even higher.

The findings in the Caixin report contrasted with a similar official survey on Thursday which showed an unexpected pick-up in manufacturing growth last month, despite the expected drag from the air pollution crackdown and a cooling property market.

The Caixin version tends to focus more on small and mid-sized companies.

    The environmental crackdown is creating uncertainty for industrial firms, with an executive at the nation’s largest integrated copper producer Jiangxi Copper (600362.SS) saying costs are going higher as emissions standards rise.

    “For the most part, the manufacturing sector remained stable in November, although some signs of weakness emerged. In the fourth quarter, the economy is likely to maintain the stability observed since the start of the second half of the year,” Zhengsheng Zhong, Director of Macroeconomic Analysis at CEBM Group, said in a note accompanying the Caixin release.

    “Economic growth in 2017 is expected to be higher than last year, but it may come under downward pressure in 2018,” Zhong added.

    The world’s second-biggest economy has defied market expectations with economic growth of 6.9 percent in the first nine months of the year, supported by a construction boom and robust exports.

    But factory activity has shown signs of cooling in the past few months as Beijing extended a crackdown on financial risks, which has increased borrowing costs and weighed on new investment.

    Reporting by Lusha Zhang and Elias Glenn; Editing by Kim Coghill; LushaZhang1@thomsonreuters.com; 8610-66271276

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