March 2, 2018 / 12:57 AM / 16 days ago

Dollar slides as U.S. tariff plan rattles currency outlook

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar fell against most currencies on Friday, dropping to its lowest in more than two years against the yen, as President Donald Trump’s proposal to impose hefty tariffs on steel and aluminum imports raised prospects of a trade war that could damage the U.S. economy.

FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this photo illustration taken February 12, 2018. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez/Illustration

Friday’s sell-off came just as the dollar had risen to multi-week highs amid strong data and an upbeat view on the economy from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which reinforced expectations of three or more interest rate hikes this year.

“Historically, the dollar loses from trade wars, which underscores our structural bearish views, especially as the ramping up of twin deficits will require international funding over the next few years,” said Mark McCormick, head of North American FX strategy at TD Securities in Toronto.

Trump announced on Thursday he would impose heavy tariffs on imported steel and aluminum to protect U.S. producers, risking retaliation from major trade partners such as China, Europe and Canada.

The dollar fell to 105.26 yen JPY=, the lowest since November 2016 and was last down 0.5 percent at 105.72 yen. Against the euro EURJPY= and sterling GBPJPY=, the yen was up 0.1 percent and 0.5 percent respectively.

The yen also rallied after Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the BoJ would consider an exit from its ultra-easy monetary policy if it met its inflation target in the year ending in March 2020.

The dollar was already on the back foot before Kuroda spoke, having pulled sharply back from six-week highs after Trump’s decision to impose tariffs.

The dollar index, tracking it against a basket of major currencies .DXY, fell 0.4 percent to 89.957.

Bilal Hafeez, a macro strategist at Nomura in London, said the extent of the dollar reaction to the tariffs will likely depend on the reaction of other countries to the move.The euro, meanwhile, was up 0.5 percent versus the dollar, with the focus on Sunday’s Italian parliamentary election and the level of support for populist agendas that could have a wider impact on the European Union.

Investors will also focus on the U.S. jobs report for February due next week. The consensus expectation for average hourly earnings growth for month is for a 0.2 percent increase, while the headline non-farm payrolls is seen to have grown by 200,000 jobs, according to a Reuters poll.

“Given the recent market turbulence that was initially driven in part by higher-than-expected wage growth figures in the last jobs report, this piece of data will take on particular importance,” said James Chen, head of research at in Bedminster, New Jersey.


Currency bid prices at 4:20PM (2120 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change


Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.2326 $1.2267 +0.48% +2.75% +1.2336 +1.2252

Dollar/Yen JPY= 105.7000 106.2300 -0.50% -6.19% +106.2900 +105.2600

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 130.31 130.32 -0.01% -3.60% +130.4300 +129.5800

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9370 0.9417 -0.50% -3.83% +0.9424 +0.9339

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.3792 1.3774 +0.13% +2.07% +1.3816 +1.3757

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.2882 1.2836 +0.36% +2.43% +1.2915 +1.2819

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.7762 0.7754 +0.10% -0.50% +0.7773 +0.7738


Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.1554 1.1553 +0.01% -1.15% +1.1560 +1.1497

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8935 0.8903 +0.36% +0.59% +0.8951 +0.8896

NZ NZD= 0.7233 0.7247 -0.19% +2.07% +0.7279 +0.7220


Dollar/Norway NOK= 7.7835 7.8418 -0.74% -5.16% +7.8858 +7.7650

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.5961 9.6214 -0.26% -2.56% +9.6885 +9.5478

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 8.2455 8.2476 +0.48% +0.53% +8.2863 +8.2316

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.1674 10.1186 +0.48% +3.34% +10.2001 +10.1140

Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Bernadette Baum and Chris Reese

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