May 18, 2020 / 11:45 AM / 9 days ago

Breakingviews - SoftBank’s clouds come with some silver linings

The logo of SoftBank Group Corp is displayed at SoftBank World 2017 conference in Tokyo, Japan, July 20, 2017.

HONG KONG (Reuters Breakingviews) - The once seemingly impossible task of taming SoftBank Group boss Masayoshi Son appears to be gaining some traction. The $90 billion company he leads posted a record $1.36 trillion yen ($12.7 billion) annual loss, led by pain at office-sharing outfit The We Company. But a push by activist investor Elliott Management is yielding results, funds are being spent less frivolously, stock buybacks continue apace, and asset sales are on. There are signs of a long-overdue governance shift, too.

In an earnings presentation on Monday, Son forecast that Covid-19 could reap damage on markets akin to the Great Depression, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 90% of its value and took 25 years to recover. SoftBank’s roughly $100 billion Vision Fund posted an almost $18 billion unrealised loss in the year to March, and 47 of its 88 portfolio companies suffered markdowns. Investments in three of only eight of its startups that have made a public debut, including Uber Technologies, are now underwater.

There were some positives. SoftBank’s domestic telecoms unit, earlier the company’s core business, posted a record 11% rise in operating profit. The recent merger sealed between T-Mobile US and Sprint will also significantly reduce net debt, which stands at $64 billion. Cash is also being conserved by withholding the dividend.

As the group moves from explosive growth to crisis management, it’s the right time to refresh the board. Jack Ma is exiting after 13 years. That may not be a bad thing, as the Alibaba, founder hardly appears to have kept his counterpart on the right track. SoftBank has also proposed two new outside directors including Yuko Kawamoto – a professor known for her work on corporate governance who will also be the first female on the board. They might have more success.

The shift could further accelerate asset sales to fund Son’s massive stock buyback programme. With Ma gone, it could be a little easier to sell a slither of the Chinese e-commerce giant: Its 25% stake is worth $137 billion. The Wall Street Journal also reported on Monday that the Japanese company was in talks to sell a big chunk of its roughly $30 billion T-Mobile US stake to controlling shareholder Deutsche Telekom. There are at least some silver linings in the dark clouds over SoftBank.

Breakingviews

Reuters Breakingviews is the world's leading source of agenda-setting financial insight. As the Reuters brand for financial commentary, we dissect the big business and economic stories as they break around the world every day. A global team of about 30 correspondents in New York, London, Hong Kong and other major cities provides expert analysis in real time.


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